A duality‐based relaxation and decomposition approach for inventory distribution systems

We propose a new method for making the inventory replenishment decisions in distribution systems. In particular, we consider distribution systems consisting of multiple retailers that face random demand and a warehouse that supplies the retailers. The method that we propose is based on formulating the distribution problem as a dynamic program, and relaxing the constraints that ensure the nonnegativity of the shipments to the retailers, by associating Lagrange multipliers with them. We show that our method provides lower bounds on the value functions, and a good set of values for the Lagrange multipliers can be obtained by maximizing a concave function in a relatively straightforward manner. Computational experiments indicate that our method can provide significant improvements over the traditional approaches for making the inventory replenishment decisions, in terms of both the tightness of the lower bounds on the value functions and the performance of the policies. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

电磁轨道发射装置动态电感梯度分析

推导了导轨间磁场均匀分布和非均匀分布两种情况下电感梯度数学计算模型。引入了速度频率来模拟电枢发射过程速度趋肤效应,对导轨二维模型以及三维电磁场模型进行时谐仿真,并将获得的单位长度电感以及电感梯度,分别用于电气仿真系统中电感和电枢推力的计算。电气仿真和试验结果表明,电流和出口速度误差均在2%以内,证明了动态电感梯度分析及参数提取方法的正确性和准确性。     

火控雷达有源诱饵三点源布局研究

火控雷达由于特殊的工作方式更容易受到反辐射导弹的攻击,为火控雷达配备有源诱饵并研究其合理的布局方式非常必要．基于有源诱偏技术的基本原理,以三点源诱饵系统为研究对象,建立了一种新型的布局模型．为避免采用某种特定布局进行仿真并比较的研究方式,模型通过变动雷达在整个诱饵系统中的布局位置实现了对各种布局形状的仿真,获得了系统诱偏效果与雷达位置的对应关系．仿真结果表明,系统的诱偏效果与雷达到诱饵中心位置的距离有关,找到了火控雷达在诱饵系统中最合适的布置区域,使系统达到最优的诱偏效果．     

舰炮对海上集群小目标射击的毁伤概率

海上集群小目标是水面舰艇面临的主要威胁之一。以单管大口径舰炮对海上集群小目标射击作为研究对象,对集群目标进行了等效处理,分析了弹种、引信和装药的选择以及效力射中的表尺分配问题,提出多表尺效力射方法,利用该方法对海上集群小目标射击的毁伤概率进行了分析。结果表明,采用该方法并使用空炸榴弹或杀伤爆破弹,可有效破坏敌运输工具,杀伤其有生力量。     

大型油罐区蒸气云爆炸事故多米诺效应研究

依据大型储罐区油罐结构及储存油品性质,分析初始事故带来的物理效应对邻近设备的影响,对由蒸气云爆炸引起的多米诺效应进行了研究,计算了二次设备的损坏概率;分析了多米诺场景,计算了多米诺事故的扩展概率,并根据多米诺事故的后果得到了个人风险和社会风险曲线.通过蒸气云爆炸事故多米诺效应评价,为提高大型储罐区的本质安全提供理论支持.     

Does Health Spending Crowd out Defense in the United States? Evidence from Wavelet Multiresolution Analysis

Abstract

This study investigates the association between defense and health spending using multi-resolution analysis incorporating the structural change model. Our empirical results suggested that a negative correlation between defense and health spending persists over the entire period of 1941–2013 in the very long-run (over 16 years cycle), but there is a change in correlation between defense and health spending in the short-run (2–4 years cycle), medium-run (4–8 years cycle), and long-run (8–16 years cycle) during the same period. In particular, there appears to have been a trade-off relationship between defense and health spending during the ex-Korean War period, but there was a complementary relationship between defense and health spending during the post-Korean War period. The crowding-out effect of health spending on defense spending during the period when the Affordable Care Act was put into effect relies on the strength of the positive correlation in the long-run (8–16 years cycle) and negative correlation in the short-run (2–4 years cycle) and very long-run (over 16 years cycle).     

海上机动目标打击效果评估决策支持系统设计

针对海上机动目标打击效果评估的特点,运用遥感技术、人工智能技术和模糊评判的方法探索打击效果评估问题。提出一种基于高分辨率遥感图像的打击效果评估决策支持系统,融合人定性分析和机器定量分析的优点,核心是问题处理系统综合运用处理后的遥感信息和支持系统的模型、知识以及数据来评估打击效果,评估模型为二级综合评判模型。对尚处于理论研究阶段的海上机动目标打击效果评估问题有积极的参考意义。     

基于效果的联合作战行动规划研究

联合作战行动规划是依据联合作战的使命和资源约束建立完成使命的最佳行动过程,通过对交战环境状态、交战主体的资源能力状态、行动、事件和效果的定义,结合人工智能领域解决"计划"问题的研究、军事领域基于效果的作战思想提出了联合作战行动规划模型及策略优选方法.模型结合了马尔可夫决策过程和贝叶斯网络技术来求解交战主体的最优策略,对联合作战设计具有适应性的行动策略做出的初步尝试.     

从劝服理论看制约军队思想政治教育效果的因素

思想政治教育是保证军队“打得赢、不变质”的有效途径。探讨制约思想政治教育效果的因素,对于增强我军的文化软实力有着现实性和必要性。从传播效果的“劝服论”入手,通过对教育者、受教育者和教育技巧三个方面的分析,探寻提升思想政治教育效果的有效途径。     

论武警指挥系统与指挥环境的相互作用机制

指挥环境对指挥系统效能的发挥有不同程度的影响和制约,指挥系统对指挥环境也具有反作用,二者是一种互依互存的关系。指挥系统与指挥环境依靠互存、互控和重适的作用机制,不断发生物质、能量和信息交换,从而改变着武警作战行动的态势。实践中,在认识、利用和改造指挥环境的同时,也要对指挥系统本身进行优化,努力克服指挥环境的不利因素,从而确保指挥系统和指挥环境处于一种良性的运行状态。